Friday, November 24, 2006
State House of Representatives Map: Supermajority
This is the last major map in the series (I'll get to the boring 1st and 3rd Districts in December).
This map doesn't look much different from the 2004 map. Democrats made some inroads down on the Fairfield coast and in the Farmington Valley. Republicans picked up a seat in Bristol. Eight changes of party out of 151 seats, by my count. You can see from the map that most seats were won by 20% or more. Many seats were not contested. Democrats are winning unopposed in the cities and some older suburbs, while Republicans are winning unopposed in rural Western Connecticut and elsewhere.
One (more) thing for Republicans to worry about is that they seem to be being pushed away from the coast and out of Greater Hartford. Interior portions of Fairfield, New Haven and Litchfield Counties are the only real safe GOP territory left, aside from isolated spots scattered around the state. Districts along that frontier, which runs down the Farmington Valley through the Waterbury area down to the western New Haven suburbs, then down the coast to Greenwich, will be ones to watch next time around.