RealClearPolitics is reporting that a Rasmussen poll is showing Joe Lieberman leading Ned Lamont 50% to 40%. This is a significant difference from the last Rasmussen poll, which showed only a 2% Lieberman lead.
This is not good news for Ned Lamont. He has a month until the election, and the trends are not going his way.
11 comments:
Ned is airing some of the old radio ads from the summer--is he trying to gin up the liberal base?? At this point in the campaign he ought to be reaching out to moderates and R's. he ain't. He is backfilling liberal support. Not a good sign.
These polls show what a tighthold the Lieberme campaign and thier rotten gop money has on the pollsters. We go from a two to a ten to a 20 point lead for Lieberme. It's all bullshit and everybody knows it. I can't wait for the Lamont rally tomorrow at Uconn. There he will get massive local and national media coverage. Tomorrow Joe is going to get one of his worst beatings of his political career. There is going to be over a 1000 supporters there to show Lamont is by far the best candidate.
And we are still going to have a incompetent president and a civil war going on in Iraq. Well I know one thing is that I'm not with stupid or as most folks call him the village idiot. How can anybody in this state be satisfied with Lieberman who is fine with the status quo, mediocrocy and giving free passes to our moronic president. It's a joke.
Lamont is going down as he should. The voters are figuring out that Ned is a "one trick pony" and his show ended on August 8th. Thankfully, the voters of CT are rejecting the left wing/Moveon.org/DailyKos brand of politics. May it serve as a valuable lesson for the Democratic Party.
Geeze--if village idiots can get as as far as W..sign me up!!!
Turn off the Lights The Party's Over for Ned Lamont.
The 53% Lieberman to 33% Lamont Zogby figures are impossible to believe, seeing as last week Zogby had the race at 45.8% to 44.0%. What event happened this week that would provide a reasonable theory for a twenty point spread to appear? Absolutely nothing.
Since the primary there has been a relative lull in the coverage of this race, but with a month left to go, that is going to change, and that's when you will see the numbers actually start to move; not before anything has actually happened. Remember how much the attention escalated the weeks leading up to the primary? That will happen again just as much this time, if not moreso; the difference is that Lamont had a much bigger gap to catch up in the primary. After all, just about every poll last week except the Quinnepiac had the race within the margin of error, something Lamont could not have DREAMED of five weeks before the primary race.
But the most important thing people CONSTANTLY seem to miss when it comes to these Lamont/Lieberman polls is when they talk about how the numbers don't show a boost immediately follow his primary win; these people don't pay attention to the fact that most polls we saw before the primary were likely democratic primary voters, and the polls we have seen since then are likely voters period. So going from 52% in a democratic primary to 44% in a general election poll is a huge boost; even going to 33% would be a boost (although I honestly don't believe Lamont's number is that low - and even if it is, he's caught up from so much further behind in the past, I don't see how people can be arrogant enough to count him out before the general election campaign has gotten in full swing).
The liberme bandwagoners are starting to appear all of sudden. Here is a reality check. There a couple hundred thousand undecided voters still in this state. They are the most important voting group and will make the most difference in the race. Lamont has a massive event going on tomorrow at uconn with Wesley Clark. What I know is that Lamont is going to speak honestly on why he is the best candidate and Lieberme is going to take the worst media bashing he has ever gotten in the state ever before tomorrow. All the media is going to be there and people will see that Lamont has as much or more support than Liebergoon.
People need to be able to think for themselves......polls don't go up 18 points on consecutive polls unless for error or the data has been unkowningly manipulated. There is obviously something about the dataset nobody knows.
Blue Turned Red...
just had to say, you're spot-on buddy... The Lamont ship has sailed, and only 35-38% of the state is on it
Blue Turned Red - I believed Zogby last week because every other poll (save one) said the exact same thing as Zogby, that the race was a dead heat. This week, there's less consistency and we're supposed to believe that Lamont has fallen ten or twenty points in the absence of any events. If roles were reversed and it was Lieberman in the same position as Lamont, I wouldn't buy it either; there simply haven't been any events to affect the race that greatly over the last two weeks in either direction, and this is a common sense deduction of statistics, not a partisan talking point.
And yes, there IS a relative lull in this campaign, if you understand the meaning of the word relative. The weeks before the primary had the national and local news WAY more focused on the race than it is today. Nowadays it gets MUCH less national coverage, and the "most watched Senate race in America" is Allen vs. Webb if you turn on the television. Hell, I've seen more national coverage of Santorum/Casey and Harris/Nelson that Lamont/Lieberman in recent weeks. Now, this is sure to change in the coming days as the election gets closer, but relatively speaking, this HAS BEEN a lull, and I'm sorry if that upsets you.
(Personally, I DO think Lieberman/Lamont should have been the most covered Senate race for the entire duration between the general and primary because of the issues involved, but unfortunately our news cycle has a short attention span, and apparantely needed a break after all the focus on Lieberman/Lamont; theoretically that way it would be fresher when the same battle came around a couple months later)
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