Thursday, October 05, 2006

Rasmussen: Lieberman Up by 10%

RealClearPolitics is reporting that a Rasmussen poll is showing Joe Lieberman leading Ned Lamont 50% to 40%. This is a significant difference from the last Rasmussen poll, which showed only a 2% Lieberman lead.

This is not good news for Ned Lamont. He has a month until the election, and the trends are not going his way.

19 comments:

Billy said...

Hahaha!

disgruntled_republican said...

When will "they" learn? The way left needs to look at the price of real estate in Massachusetts and Vermont because the MAINSTREAM voters will have none of it.

Billy said...

I am personally hoping that "they" skip Mass and Vermont and just go all the way through to Canada. They have been promising it after every election they lose and yet here they are.

CommonSenseDem said...

The link to "Real Clear Politics," which shows the Rasmussen numbers, also lists a new poll from Zogby/Reuters (taken from 9/25-10/2).

In this poll, Lieberman leads Lamont 53% to 33% with Sclesinger geting about 4%.

Anonymous said...

Ned is airing some of the old radio ads from the summer--is he trying to gin up the liberal base?? At this point in the campaign he ought to be reaching out to moderates and R's. he ain't. He is backfilling liberal support. Not a good sign.

Anonymous said...

These polls show what a tighthold the Lieberme campaign and thier rotten gop money has on the pollsters. We go from a two to a ten to a 20 point lead for Lieberme. It's all bullshit and everybody knows it. I can't wait for the Lamont rally tomorrow at Uconn. There he will get massive local and national media coverage. Tomorrow Joe is going to get one of his worst beatings of his political career. There is going to be over a 1000 supporters there to show Lamont is by far the best candidate.

Billy said...

After this election only 1 thing will have changed. Lament will be 6 million smackers poorer. Liberman will still be a senator and Rell will still be the Govoner. Game over libs, game over.

Anonymous said...

And we are still going to have a incompetent president and a civil war going on in Iraq. Well I know one thing is that I'm not with stupid or as most folks call him the village idiot. How can anybody in this state be satisfied with Lieberman who is fine with the status quo, mediocrocy and giving free passes to our moronic president. It's a joke.

Billy said...

Incompetent? Hes gotten far more done than the last 2 Democrat weasels to make it into power as the Prez. He may not be the sharpest speaker or tack in the world, but he is far from incompetent. If you want incompetent look up the democrats, they have a history of ignoring problems and using band aid solutions while really doing nothing to secure and progress the United States.

Anonymous said...

Lamont is going down as he should. The voters are figuring out that Ned is a "one trick pony" and his show ended on August 8th. Thankfully, the voters of CT are rejecting the left wing/Moveon.org/DailyKos brand of politics. May it serve as a valuable lesson for the Democratic Party.

Brian said...

Voters in our state must be blind to American foreign policy. We have had 133,000 civilians die in the middle east becuase of going after the wrong country. Every 15 minutes somebody is trying to blow us up over there. (how many killed american soilders do we need in this 50 year war bush wants)We have thousands and thousands of insurgents in Iraq now that were not there before we got there because we have unethically and immorally taken over Iraq. They want us all dead because we don't belong there. It's complete bullshit to think Bush has done a good job. He is a village idiot who spreads fear and is probably the most incompetent president in American History. How about that bullshit torture bill? We torture more now in Iraq than Saddam did. There is alot of evidence for that book. Hopefully we don't torture the wrong person.. sorry to the german guy who was mistakened for a terrorist in Iraq...six more years of Lieberman is a joke.....

Anonymous said...

Geeze--if village idiots can get as as far as W..sign me up!!!

Mr X said...

Turn off the Lights The Party's Over for Ned Lamont.

Shadow said...

The 53% Lieberman to 33% Lamont Zogby figures are impossible to believe, seeing as last week Zogby had the race at 45.8% to 44.0%. What event happened this week that would provide a reasonable theory for a twenty point spread to appear? Absolutely nothing.

Since the primary there has been a relative lull in the coverage of this race, but with a month left to go, that is going to change, and that's when you will see the numbers actually start to move; not before anything has actually happened. Remember how much the attention escalated the weeks leading up to the primary? That will happen again just as much this time, if not moreso; the difference is that Lamont had a much bigger gap to catch up in the primary. After all, just about every poll last week except the Quinnepiac had the race within the margin of error, something Lamont could not have DREAMED of five weeks before the primary race.

But the most important thing people CONSTANTLY seem to miss when it comes to these Lamont/Lieberman polls is when they talk about how the numbers don't show a boost immediately follow his primary win; these people don't pay attention to the fact that most polls we saw before the primary were likely democratic primary voters, and the polls we have seen since then are likely voters period. So going from 52% in a democratic primary to 44% in a general election poll is a huge boost; even going to 33% would be a boost (although I honestly don't believe Lamont's number is that low - and even if it is, he's caught up from so much further behind in the past, I don't see how people can be arrogant enough to count him out before the general election campaign has gotten in full swing).

Blue Turned Red said...

Shadow - your spin on this whole thing is pathetic. No poll shows Ned closer than 10 points from Lieberman. Last week the Lamonsters were praising Zogby and bashing Q poll. Now they discredit Zogby because it doesn't show the results they want to see. Are Ned's supporters wacked or what? There should be no question of that now.

You say there has been "a lull in coverage". What planet have you been on? This is the most watched senate race in the nation. Ads on TV & radio everyday. A day doesn't go by without newspaper coverage of both candidates. What a lamo excuse you make. Ned is getting coverage; the problem is people are tuning him out.

Lastly, Ned didn't show a bump after the primary because he doesn't appeal to anyone except for liberal Democrats. It makes sense to anyone not blinded by Lamont's bs that his appeal and stature would greatly diminish when he presented his case to all the voters. Lieberman knew it, that's why he stayed in

Anonymous said...

The liberme bandwagoners are starting to appear all of sudden. Here is a reality check. There a couple hundred thousand undecided voters still in this state. They are the most important voting group and will make the most difference in the race. Lamont has a massive event going on tomorrow at uconn with Wesley Clark. What I know is that Lamont is going to speak honestly on why he is the best candidate and Lieberme is going to take the worst media bashing he has ever gotten in the state ever before tomorrow. All the media is going to be there and people will see that Lamont has as much or more support than Liebergoon.

Anonymous said...

People need to be able to think for themselves......polls don't go up 18 points on consecutive polls unless for error or the data has been unkowningly manipulated. There is obviously something about the dataset nobody knows.

Anonymous said...

Blue Turned Red...

just had to say, you're spot-on buddy... The Lamont ship has sailed, and only 35-38% of the state is on it

Shadow said...

Blue Turned Red - I believed Zogby last week because every other poll (save one) said the exact same thing as Zogby, that the race was a dead heat. This week, there's less consistency and we're supposed to believe that Lamont has fallen ten or twenty points in the absence of any events. If roles were reversed and it was Lieberman in the same position as Lamont, I wouldn't buy it either; there simply haven't been any events to affect the race that greatly over the last two weeks in either direction, and this is a common sense deduction of statistics, not a partisan talking point.

And yes, there IS a relative lull in this campaign, if you understand the meaning of the word relative. The weeks before the primary had the national and local news WAY more focused on the race than it is today. Nowadays it gets MUCH less national coverage, and the "most watched Senate race in America" is Allen vs. Webb if you turn on the television. Hell, I've seen more national coverage of Santorum/Casey and Harris/Nelson that Lamont/Lieberman in recent weeks. Now, this is sure to change in the coming days as the election gets closer, but relatively speaking, this HAS BEEN a lull, and I'm sorry if that upsets you.

(Personally, I DO think Lieberman/Lamont should have been the most covered Senate race for the entire duration between the general and primary because of the issues involved, but unfortunately our news cycle has a short attention span, and apparantely needed a break after all the focus on Lieberman/Lamont; theoretically that way it would be fresher when the same battle came around a couple months later)