Friday, October 13, 2006

Rell Loses Ground Following Debate

But DeStefano Doesn't Gain

A new Courant/UCONN poll out this morning shows Gov. Rell's lead down by six points, from 56% to 50%, following her first debate with John DeStefano. DeStefano didn't gain, however--his support stayed at 28%.
Monika McDermott, the poll's director, said DeStefano clearly developed momentum from a strong performance in the debate.

"He didn't seal the deal, but he did give some people pause," McDermott said Thursday.(Keating)

The next debate is Wednesday at 7pm, on WVIT (Ch. 30).

Source
Keating, Christopher. "Rell's Lead Down 6 Points." Hartford Courant 13 October, 2006.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

Jodi Rell. Rudy Giuliani. Tonight in Stamford. Be there.

CTRevolution said...

Lets be honest, everytime Rell is put side by side with DeStefano, she will lose points. It's not hard to see that DeStefano is the more intelligent choice between the two. The one who understands the problems that working families are facing and the one that shows real leadership. I just wish there were more then 2 debates, although that would hamper Rell's rose garden strategy.

Anonymous said...

Giuliani stumped for Rowland last time around, too. He's just another political whore looking to boost his own stock and trade.

Anonymous said...

I see Rell losing the ground, but they sure didn't flip right over to JDS. Too bad there isn't another viable choice out there. Granny Rell will still end up getting 60% simply because she is the lesser of two evils. But, she was right to want only a limited number of debates. She isn't very good thinking on her feet.

Shadow said...

It's funny, usually the number of undecided voters goes DOWN as an election gets closer, not up. Definitely good news for Green Party candidate Cliff Thornton. Rell/DeStefano has become as an appealing a leadership contest as Bush/Gore in 2000; however, instead of yielding the lower turnout that one would usually expect in that sort of election (like the less than 50% turnout in the US Presidential race), plenty of people will still show up to vote this time due to the interest in the US Congressional Elections. The question remains will they begrudgingly accept picking one of two choices they dislike, will they not vote in that particular race, or will they protest by voting for a third party.

Another interesting tidbit: if this trend in the polls were to continue on course for two more debates, the numbers would be Rell 36% to DeStefano 28%, leaving another 36% undecided, enough for a third party to (theoretically) win the election. Of course there is no reasonable basis on which to assume that Rell's numbers will drop a whole 6% after each debate, and certainly no reason to assume anyone (last of all a third party candidate) would have the monopoly of coverage required to grab all undecided voters.

However, I still find that arithmetic quite amusing, as it reveals that there may be an opening appearing in CT state politics that has not been present at least a decade. There is a possibility that lightning will strike on election day, and many of the independent moderates and progressives in this state who took Lamont to victory in the primary against historically insurmountable odds will have an epiphany and vote for Thornton, possibly getting him into double digits. With polls showing Rell tanking and DeStefano stagnating, you never know...

Anonymous said...

Shadow, kind of tough for the trend to continue for two more debates, when there is only one left. I know you're a green, but reading the newspaper isn't really killing a tree - it's already dead.

Anonymous said...

people dropping from Jodi without jumping immedialely to DeStefano seems reasonable. So now that means they'll take a close look at him. Given that the head of the CBIA, a Republican, has endorsed him DeStefano has a chance but how much his poll numbers will move remains a mystery to be honest.

BrassBoy said...

Yes, yes, John DeStefano, man of the people, for the people. The working people. THat is if you work for a company with contracts with the city of New Haven. Then he'll really be for ya...

ken krayeske said...

One of the more frustrating moments of this campaign occured earlier today for me. While Cliff and I waited in the front room at Channel 30 for our tv time consolation prize - 15 minutes on Tom Monahan's Newsmaker - in walked Herb Sheperdson and Derek Slap. Cliff and I were escorted into the main studio to do a recording for Sunday morning at 6:30, while Slap and Sheperdson went into another room to discuss Wednesday night's prime time debate.

If I had never felt before like there was one water fountain for the Greens and one water fountain for the two main parties, boy, that moment this morning sure reinforced that concept.

Open the debates. Open democracy. This exclusion is not what soldiers in Iraq are fighting for.

Anonymous said...

This could be a MOE wobble, espcially as the DeStefano number didn't move at all

TrueBlueCT said...

Ken--

When will you wake up and understand that relevancy matters? The Green Party hasn't won anything in Connecticut, not even at the lowest levels. As such, it doesn't deserve much respect and certainly your candidate doesn't belong on the center stage with the big boys and girls. (although I believe you are due plenty of free airtime.)

If Thornton wanted to engage in a real forum, he should have run in the Dem Primary. Plenty of people would have been interested in hearing what Cliff had to say, at that point in time. Heck, I might have even voted for him. And certainly I would join a caucus of Green and Clean Dems.

But right now you are just acting as a self-absorbed spoiler. And while I acknowledge the Dem Party has huge problems, I also remember Nader and his selfishness which resulted in the Bush nightmare.

If you really cared about the Left v. Right debate, you would join up with DeStefano. But this idea that the Greens are going to rise up and supplant the Dems as the party of the left,... well, it is completely delusional. Your revolution isn't happening and all your energy and well-meaning would be put to much better use if it were instead directed to reforming the Democratic Party.

Forgive my bluntness. And I wish our two-party system were other than it is.

Wolcottboy said...

Anon 11:41

Hmm... Rell... or DeStefano... gee... tough choice... Hmmm... Y'know what? Its not worth getting up in the morning. Its like choosing between a meal of canola oil or ants. I just don't see the point in voting with them on the ballot.

I'm definitly voting 3rd party this year. That's the more interesting coin toss.

Let's throw it out there- just how high can the Green's and the Concerned Citizen's go this year? I think they'll hit record highs.

Anonymous said...

The Hartford Courant poll is not an accurate poll....it is of REGISTERED voters rather than LIKELY voters. Look to the other polls as a more accurate measure of how this race is going.