Monday, October 30, 2006

Day of Many Polls: Farrell Ahead of Shays

A new Journal-Inquirer Poll shows challenger Diane Farrell slightly ahead of Rep. Christopher Shays in the 4th District:
A new poll gives Democrat Diane Farrell a 4-point advantage over U.S. Rep. Christopher Shays, R-4th District - essentially the reverse of their showing a month ago in a similar survey.

But because the latest poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, it also suggests that the closely watched contest remains a statistical dead heat.

Sponsored by the Journal Inquirer and The Day of New London, the Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters in the 4th Congressional District was conducted by telephone between Thursday and Saturday.

It shows Farrell leading Shays by a 47 percent to 43 percent margin, with 10 percent undecided. (Michak)

Another close, close race.

Source
Michak, Don. "JI Poll: 4th district race a statistical dead heat." Journal-Inquirer 30 October, 2006.

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

This poll will be especially significant becasue of the large circulation the Day and the JI have in the 4th CD --- not --- maybe if it makes another paper or the TV a few folks will see it for what its worth.

Anonymous said...

Joe Lieberman and Mike Bloomberg were at the Stamford train station this morning where Joe bought Mike and himself a Coffee.

Unbelievably,Between the millionaire(Joe) and the Billionaire (Mike) they couldn't find it in their heart to leave a tip.

I guess the "It's about people not poitics"thing doesn't count if you work for a living.

Grumpy said...

Okay GC,

Five posts in a row on the topic of polls????

A single post titled "Multiple Polls Confirm What You Already Know - CT 2nd, 4th, 5th House Races Too Close To Call" would take care of this topic nicely.

Anonymous said...

Imagine that

Joe Lieberman can have his minions spread around $387,000 in "street money" buying votes but doesn't even have enough class to throw a buck in the tip jar at Dunkin Donuts after buying Billionaire Mike a "cup of Joe with Joe".

What a putz.

Anonymous said...

Vote for Ned Lamont - He is a big tipper!!! Sounds like another losing strategy from Tom Swan.

Getting back to the previous post. The poll results published today are significant and do tell a story that is unfavorable to Republicans (with the exception of Rob Simmons)

All the polling - including Johnson and Shays internals show them over the course of the last 10 weeks losing points to their dem opposition - meaning: the races have slowly been moving in one direction (the wrong direction if you are a Republican)

Shays will have almost zero chance to stop the bleeding - reports suggest there is more bad news for Shays in the coming days.

Johnson on the other hand, called together - in a beautiful move typical of Dave Boomer - last minute Rallies with Gov. Rell once they learned of the news that was going to hit - Tomorrow's News Times and Republican American will have front page pictures of Johnson and Rell as opposed to "Murphy picking up steam" - A nice way to stop any possible bleeding.

Shays is done - Johnson has a chance to make it a race until Next Tuesday and Simmons could be putting this race away.

Anonymous said...

Republicans are Morons.

The last thing you want is a picture of Johnson with the only Republican(Rell) who still has a chance of winning.

Rell should be hiding her dumb fat ass in a closet for 8 more days before she gets covered by the wave too.

Anonymous said...

Shays is done?

Come on! I really think you're jumping the gun here.

Anonymous said...

Great Idea!!

Lets see Jodi on the front page of every CT Newspaper with the Losers who got over 2800 of our kids killed and over 100 this month alone for absolutely nothing.


DeStefano may win yet.

Shadow said...

No, he won't. Seven days isn't enough to take down Rell, even in this political climate. Don't get me wrong, I want her to lose, but DeStefano is not going to win the election. If she was under 50%, I'd say sure let's go for it. Even low 50's you could try and make a case. But at 58%, Rell's lead is insurmountable by a challenger trailing her consistently by twenty-five points.

Any appealing position of DeStefano is as good or better in Thornton's platform, except Thornton explains how he'll pay for things, has no ethics issues, and would do what he says in office. A Rell victory is inevitable; why cast a pragmatic vote on an unrealistic assessment?

Anonymous said...

the posts here show why democrats have been losing national election after national election