Lieberman leads Lamont among likely voters 48-40 percent, with 8 percent undecided and roughly 15 percent of both candidates' supporters saying they still could change their minds before Nov. 7.
The poll by the Center for Survey Research and Analysis found that 60 percent of voters believe going to war was wrong, and a slim majority favors a deadline for withdrawal, issues Lamont used to defeat Lieberman in the Democratic primary.
But Lieberman, who stayed in the race as a petitioning candidate, enjoys a 57 percent approval rating and has managed to capture 67 percent of the Republican vote, while keeping 35 percent of Democrats in his camp. Unaffiliated voters prefer him over Lamont 45-37 percent. (Pazniokas)
Lieberman supporters are an interesting coalition: a solid majority of Republicans, about half of the unaffiliated voters and a third of Democrats. Can he hold them together long enough to win?
The trend may also be starting to shift in Lamont's favor, although it's hard to tell. Lieberman's lead is slightly less than it was in the last Q-Poll.
The poll also showed widespread discontent with the war in Iraq, although not, apparently, enough to give Lamont a lead over Lieberman. 30% of antiwar voters support the incumbent senator.
Pazniokas, Mark. "Ned's Ideas, Joe's Votes." Hartford Courant 11 October, 2006.