A new poll conducted by UCONN for the Stamford Advocate shows Rep. Chris Shays (R) leading challenger Diane Farrell 44%-40% with a large number of voters still unsure who they'll support:
Sixteen percent of likely voters polled in the 17 municipalities that comprise lower Fairfield County's 4th district said they remain undecided. In addition, 20 percent of Shays supporters and 15 percent of Farrell supporters said they may change their mind before Election Day on Nov. 7.
When those who lean toward a certain candidate are included, Shays leads Farrell by 5 percentage points, 46 percent to 41 percent, with 12 percent undecided.
The poll of 753 registered voters was conducted Sept. 25 to Oct. 1 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. (Ginocchio)
The poll also measured President Bush's approval rating in the 4th District:
The results reveal that attempts by the former Westport first selectwoman to link Shays with the unpopular Republican President Bush have not been entirely successful. Shays' approval rating is a healthy 59 percent despite strong opposition among respondents to the war in Iraq, Bush and national policies.
Sixty-three percent of respondents disapprove of Bush; 67 percent believe the "country is on the wrong track;" and 55 percent said the Iraq war was the wrong decision. (Ginocchio)
Farrell has a month to work with, and 16% of the voters to reach. This poll suggests she won't do it by appealing to their dislike of either Iraq or the president.
Ginocchio, Mark. "16% undecided in 4th District race, poll finds." Stamford Advocate 3 October, 2006.