U.S. Senate
- Six Questions for Rep. Diana Urban
- "I used to be against Joe"
- Lieberman in Enfield
- Courant Endorses Lieberman, Malloy
- NYT Will Endorse Lamont
- The Hug
- More Mail from Democrats
- Ned Lamont Comes to Suffield
- Joe (Finally) Takes His Show on the Road
- The Millionaires' Amendment
And once again, it's time for predictions. Who's going to win on August 8th? By how much? What will the turnout be like?
13 comments:
That Malloy/DeStefano assesment is nonsense, as it was well documented that DeStefano went negative with mailings first.
The "Kiss Float" spent a good portion of Yesterday in the Westville section of New Haven (Thats where Joe Lives).
We canvased the entire neighborhood for Lawn signs and Lamont won with 32 compared to Liebermans 20.
We knocked on doors and spoke with some of those people with Lamont signs and those just outside enjoying the day. To a person they all thought Lamont was going to win but more importantly they had all voted for Lieberman Before but are Voting for Lamont August 8th.
Every one of them felt Joe had lost touch and used phraes like "Joe thinks he has become Royalty and is Entitled to the Senate seat"
These are his neighbors of over 23 yrs.They Know SEn. Lieberman better than most and they're "Disgusted with Him"
PS- the only 2 Admitted Republicans we ran into in Westville siad they plan on voting for Lieberman if he is on the Ballot in November.Anyone suprised?
My bet is Lamont over Lieberman by 15 percent. Lamont has been gaining ground on Lieberman all yr and I think the momentum is going to keep going in that direction. Now, the 3 way race, that should be interesting. Will have to see how much of a boost that a primary win would give Lamont.
In the governor's race, I'd say probably DeStefano by about 7 points. It might be closer, Malloy's camp has been sending a lot of mail, but I agree that Labor will come out in full force on this one.
Just a thought...
Anon 10:49 states, "My bet is Lamont over Lieberman by 15 percent." and in the next paragraph says, "It might be closer, Malloy's camp has been sending a lot of mail, but I agree that Labor will come out in full force on this one."
Didn't Joe get the endorsement of the unions as well? Are the union guys just gonna vote for DeStefano and leave the booth? I think labor's inpact on the Senate race has been underestimated by some...not saying it's gonna change the winner but should certainly make it close...
Labor is much more unified over DeStefano than it is with Lieberman. Check the IAM HQ in East Hartford with Lamont signs. I predict Lamont with 53% of the vote and Malloy with 51% of the vote. The NYT and Hartford Courant endorsements and more mail & TV will influence the Lieberman and Lamont voters who are soft on DeStefano or who were undecided.
Lieberman 52%
Lamont 48%
DeStefano 54%
Malloy 46%
Suprisingly Light Turnout considering the competitive nature of the races.
Hey GC, how about six questions for George Gallo?
1) What legislative races do you see the most promise in this year?
2) How come you were so quick to request Schlesinger's ouster from the race for Senate?
3) How come you were so quick to re-embrace Schlesinger in his race for Senate?
4) It has been reported on this blog that Alan Schlesinger addressed the lastest meeting of the Republican State Central Committee. What was the general tone of response to his appearance?
5) What are your thoughts on Diana Urban?As a Republican, do you support her?
6) Do you expect Alan Schlesinger to be on the Republican line come Election Day?
Brucey: I take issue with the first of your assumptions, namely that union D's are more liberal. I think this is pretty far from the truth. Many union D's are D's because 1) they have to be, 2) the Democratic party has historically backed the working man and it is in-bred in union families, 3) union D's are blue-collar, working class men (for the most part) and frankly can't stand many of the social positions that make liberals liberal. I haven't found too many construction workers who favor gay marriage, or are deathly concerned about the survival of the endangered sprattle-legged clapphanger...have you? Union D's want to know 1) who's going to raise the minimum wage, 2) who's going to really be able to improve health-care access for their families and 3)who has been a friend to unions in the past and will not hinder their ability to bargain effectively for their members. In this case, Lieberman is the clear choice.
Anon 12:11
Answers to your questions:
1. All of them
2. No comment
3. No comment
4. No comment
5. We support he re-election bid to the state house.
6. Yes
Do you honestly think the Chairman of the Republican party would answer those questions for you? I am sure he reads this blog and that is it...as it should be...Hi George!
Six questions for Nancy DiNardo:
1) How was is that you became chairman?
2) Don't state party by-laws prevent you from taking sides in a primary?
3) If not, and since you've endorsed Lieberman I guess they don't, who do you like: DeStefano or Malloy?
4) Do you realistically expect to hold a supermajority in the state senate?
5) If Ned Lamont wins, you lose the Governor's race, and neither Farrell, Courtney or Murphy win, how do you spin it?
6) Honestly, how did you become chairman?
US Senate Primary...
Lieberman 51%
Lamont 49%
25% turnout
Gov Primary
Malloy-52%
DeStefano-48%
Malloy over JDS by less than a point
Lamont over Lieberman by 5 points
The over/under for the number of lawsuits filed over the results: 1
Bruce: I'll take some CT-GOV-D action... Lunch at Wood n' Tap?
Oh and turnout will be 33%...
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