According to a Rasmussen Poll released today, Gov. Rell is still in fine shape, although her lead has shrunk. Her lead is less than reported in the last Quinnipiac Poll, and because it measures likely voters and not just Connecticut residents it can be said to be a bit more accurate.
She outdoes her prospective opponents by a little more than twenty-five points—a decline from her 40 point advantage, but not a terribly worrisome one. Rell now leads Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy 58% to 31% and leads New Haven Mayor John DeStefano 59% to 31%.
In other words, the only bad news for Rell in today’s poll is that the election is still five months away.
Despite the chipping away at her lead, Rell remains very popular, including among Democrats, at least 40% of whom support her reelection bid in each match-up. She is viewed favorably by 75% of all voters, 86% of GOP voters, 70% of Democrats. (Rasmussen)
As the election approaches, the Democratic party faithful, which is about 30-35% of the vote, will rally behind any candidate who is a Democrat. What this poll shows is that Malloy and DeStefano can count on the base, but not much else. If the eventual nominee can get Rell's lead down to 15% by Labor Day, this race will be worth watching.
In other gubernatorial news, the Rell campaign is opening a campaign office in Stamford this Saturday. Michele Fedele, Lt. Gov. candidate and Stamford resident, will be there to open it. I notice that they aren't opening a New Haven office. Hm.
Also, John DeStefano has a new TV ad about universal healthcare. I have yet to check this out.
"Connecticut Governor: Rell (R) Leading by 25%+." Poll. Rasmussen Reports. 19 June, 2006.