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Monday, June 19, 2006

Governor's Race: Rell Still in Lead

I was in Boston all day. It was hot there. Sounds like things were exciting back here! Figures.

According to a Rasmussen Poll released today, Gov. Rell is still in fine shape, although her lead has shrunk. Her lead is less than reported in the last Quinnipiac Poll, and because it measures likely voters and not just Connecticut residents it can be said to be a bit more accurate.
She outdoes her prospective opponents by a little more than twenty-five points—a decline from her 40 point advantage, but not a terribly worrisome one. Rell now leads Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy 58% to 31% and leads New Haven Mayor John DeStefano 59% to 31%.

In other words, the only bad news for Rell in today’s poll is that the election is still five months away.

Despite the chipping away at her lead, Rell remains very popular, including among Democrats, at least 40% of whom support her reelection bid in each match-up. She is viewed favorably by 75% of all voters, 86% of GOP voters, 70% of Democrats. (Rasmussen)

As the election approaches, the Democratic party faithful, which is about 30-35% of the vote, will rally behind any candidate who is a Democrat. What this poll shows is that Malloy and DeStefano can count on the base, but not much else. If the eventual nominee can get Rell's lead down to 15% by Labor Day, this race will be worth watching.

In other gubernatorial news, the Rell campaign is opening a campaign office in Stamford this Saturday. Michele Fedele, Lt. Gov. candidate and Stamford resident, will be there to open it. I notice that they aren't opening a New Haven office. Hm.

Also, John DeStefano has a new TV ad about universal healthcare. I have yet to check this out.

Sources

"Connecticut Governor: Rell (R) Leading by 25%+." Poll. Rasmussen Reports. 19 June, 2006.

24 Comments:

Blogger MikeCT said...

Ever notice that Rell is the only Gubernatorial candidate with no issues pages on her Web site? No pretense of substance with her. I look forward to the cookie recipes, family photos, etc. to come.

6/19/2006 10:07:00 PM  
Blogger Patricia Rice said...

The post below was copied from another blog. The author makes my point exactly on how dangerous Ned LaMont is to the Democratic party.

The Kooks on the far left are beginning to trash any and every Democrat that doesn't support their way of thinking. If allowed, they will destroy the Democratic party which should make Republicans dance in the street!

Is this good for the Democratic party? We need party unity and should support Lieberman and the entire Democratic slate before it's too late! Here is that post.
-----------------------
Ned Lamont is my last hope

If Ned doesn't win the primary, I may not even vote in this next election. Why bother? I could of had a good progressive Democrat im my area (Jim O'Rourke) but instead we have some useless
local "Democrat" Senate candidate who is anti-gay, anti-Union and pro death penalty. He couldn't be any more Repuke if he tried! If Lieberman wins I will have a choice between him and some brainless Repuke. Why should I leave my apartment to vote for either of these two clowns? Susan Bysiewicz,Nappier,Blumey and Wyman will win big no matter what. I thought we lived in a liberal state. What went wrong?

6/19/2006 10:59:00 PM  
Blogger Authentic Connecticut Republican said...

MikeCT said... "
Ever notice that Rell is the only Gubernatorial candidate with no issues pages...
"


Methodology, not Ideology wins elections.


Were you somehow laboring under the delusion that something (anything?) of substance was involved in all of this?

Of course not! You give the masses far too much credit.

How else could you explain things like, Clinton, Ted Kennedy, Arnold Schwarzenegger, the entire state of Louisiana?

6/19/2006 11:02:00 PM  
Blogger Genghis Conn said...

Patricia,

The moderate/conservative wing of the Democratic party and the liberal/progressive wing of the party are not getting along right now.

But calling the left wing a bunch of kooks isn't going to help with the whole party unity thing. It will just make them hate you more.

6/19/2006 11:05:00 PM  
Blogger cgg said...

Genghis is right. Name calling doesn't help, no matter side of the dispute it's coming from. Post-Primary we will all have to unite behind whomever is on the ballot. Further alienation of those you disagree with won't help that cause.

6/19/2006 11:12:00 PM  
Blogger cgg said...

MikeCt,
I've noticed that about Rell's site too. Very frustrating.

6/19/2006 11:13:00 PM  
Blogger Genghis Conn said...

Rell isn't going to do anything her opponents can pin her down on until September. She really doesn't have to.

6/19/2006 11:15:00 PM  
Blogger cgg said...

Also Patricia, when quoting from another blog you should name said blog and include a link.

6/19/2006 11:19:00 PM  
Blogger BRubenstein said...

patricia...make sure you turn in your work slips to the Lieberman campaign for the continued work you do to further a permanent split in the party by calling anyone whom you disagree with a "kook"

6/19/2006 11:26:00 PM  
Blogger Genghis Conn said...

That doesn't help, either...

6/19/2006 11:27:00 PM  
Blogger MikeCT said...

Patricia,

You're getting off the Sean Smith message! (Or at least one of the eight.) We "kooks on the far left" are really "kooks on the far right"! Get your kook-ology straight, please!

6/19/2006 11:41:00 PM  
Blogger Patricia Rice said...

The party does need to unite so I will attempt to stop the name calling and hope that Bruce will stop calling everyone that doesn't agree with him a staffer for Senator Lieberman.

CGG...Sorry, Here is that link from the post I referenced.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=143x2945#2962

6/19/2006 11:42:00 PM  
Blogger cgg said...

Thanks for the link Patricia. I see where you pulled the quote from now. BTW that's from a message board and not from a blog, and while it's a local thread Democratic Underground is a national forum.

As for name calling and insults I think we could all do better. Just yesterday I insulted a poster in another thread. It's pretty easy to do in an anonymous context.

6/20/2006 12:08:00 AM  
Blogger LitchfieldAngelina said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6/20/2006 05:07:00 AM  
Blogger CTObserver said...

SurveyUSA released their tracking poll, with Rell at 73% approval rating.

6/20/2006 08:47:00 AM  
Blogger demelector said...

I think this poll is great news, well, as good as one could hope for right now, for Dan Malloy. Although it is just 1 point, and within the margin of error, this is the first time I can remember that he is closer to Rell than Destefano. So, while this remains a very steep uphill battle, the untouchable Rell appears to possibly be touchable if the trend in recent polls continues. In addition, Malloy may be gaining some steam, and should probably be cautiously optimistic about this poll.

6/20/2006 11:21:00 AM  
Blogger bluecoat said...

nice spin or wishful thinking, the details of the poll don't speak to any advantage for Malloy...and as for Rell remaining superficial, she is and just goes day to day or fire to fire...

6/20/2006 11:35:00 AM  
Blogger Chris MC said...

Telling that DeStefano is going up with a costly media buy at this point in time. The AFL-CIO convention is coming up shortly, and this has to be seen as an attempt to counteract the waning enthusiasm amongst the unions for a pitched battle against Malloy, the endorsed candidate, a son of labor (literally, his mother was a union organizer), who has demonstrated an ability to compete and win even with the lion's share of Hartford's union establishment lined up behind his opponent.

The question these men and women are asking themselves is, do we really want to weaken the man who may very well be our nominee come August 9? And do we think we can maintain a unified front against Rell in November, and bring enough to the polls in the General so that we can afford to alienate the generaly supportive but non-union Democrats and Unaffiliateds?

Those are both very principled and very practical questions.

6/20/2006 11:36:00 AM  
Blogger BRubenstein said...

The fact is that neither DM or JDS did enough to bring Rell's number's down...as a result she is way way ahead and on 8/9/06 with a clear winner...the winner has only 3 months to do what he failed to do in over a year of running.

6/20/2006 11:52:00 AM  
Blogger BRubenstein said...

Chris,Chris Chris...

Nice spin but you have no substance.

You are either mis-speaking or being deceptive when you say that " waning enthusiasm for a pitched battle against Malloy..."

In fact there is every indication for the opposite...for the first time in labor history the executive board of the AFL has endorsed someone (JDS) and he is poised to receive the endorsement of the full AFL in a few days. I have checked with several AFL union leaders and they are very interested in making his race a union priority...

The unions preference for JDS is an indication of greater solidarity in the party and if they work hard..JDS will win the primary..and you and DM et al will fall behind the leadership of JDS and his base...

Additionally, the greater the unions work the greater the indication is of unity to beat Rell..and to the non-union Democrats..they will be very gratified that labor is working so hard and diligent for a candidate and will rally around the winner very quickly.

6/20/2006 12:02:00 PM  
Blogger bluecoat said...

BR:"nice spin" for Chris MC was too kind but you clarified with the "no substance" clause; it's his normal nonsense....

6/20/2006 12:46:00 PM  
Blogger Mr X said...

BR... Why dont you go brownnose Lamont,Slifka and DeStefano some more.I am sure you are on their payroll.

Since all you know how to do is attack everyone with a different viewpoint.

I am going to say it again Because apparently your listening skills aren't the best.

I have a right to my opinion If you dont like it then bite me you loser

6/20/2006 02:27:00 PM  
Blogger Chris MC said...

Bruce, Bruce, Bruce. Nobody spends more time spinning on this blog than you do. Since the convention, a lot of DeStefano supporters have rethought their position and are now supporting Malloy. Labor's leadership, your padrone, and others who've left themselves no way out are desperate to hold the AFL endorsement together. The pressure being put on the delegates to their convention is absolutely enormous.

Your populist rhetoric is belied by your fealty to the remainder of the old-fashioned machine, which just don't have any legs beyond your shrinking sphere of influence. Truth is, you are afraid of what might happen in a truly participatory Democratic Party. That's why you keep attacking people personally who offer a differing point of view - to you, this is truly political life or death.

6/20/2006 02:45:00 PM  
Blogger Jack said...

Malloy will take Stratford in the
Priamry no problem.

6/20/2006 08:19:00 PM  

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