- Incumbent: Sen John Kissel (R)
- Opponent: Bill Kiner (D) (website)
- Towns: East Granby, Enfield, Granby, Somers, Suffield, Windsor (part), Windsor Locks
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 1.64%
- Notes: Kissel won based on his personal popularity alone in 2004. His district went heavily for Kerry. Kissel was one of the few senators to vote against civil unions in 2005.
- Incumbent: Sen. Edward Meyer(D)
- Opponent: Gregg Hannon (R) (website)
- Towns: Branford, Durham, Guilford, Killingworth, Madison, N. Branford
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 3.16%
- Notes: This is typically a Republican area. Meyer defeated Bill Aniskovich in an upset in 2004.
- Incumbent: Sen. Gayle Slossberg (D) (website)
- Towns: Milford, Orange, West Haven (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 3.82%
- Notes: Slossberg defeated a GOP incumbent in 2004.
- Incumbent: Sen. Cathy Cook (R)
- Towns: Griswold, Groton, N. Stonington, Plainfield, Preston, Sterling, Stonington, Voluntown
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 8.95%
- Notes: This is a pretty weak number for such a Republican district. Cook has been mentioned as a possible running mate for Rell.
- Incumbent: Sen. Bill Finch (D)(website); (blog)
- Towns: Bridgeport (part), Monroe, Trumbull (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 7.96%
- Notes: A longtime friend of Ernest Newton.
- Incumbent: Sen. Tom Colapietro (D)
- Towns: Bristol, Harwinton (part), Plainville, Plymouth
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 5.14%
- Notes: Colapietro has said homosexuality is a "sickness."
House of Representatives
- Incumbent: Rep. Hank Bielawa (R)
- Towns: Bethel (part), Danbury (part) Redding (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 0.82% (87 votes)
- Notes: Bielawa won because he was cross-endorsed by an Independent party. Very strange stuff. This is his second term.
- Incumbent: Rep. Joe Aresimowicz (D)
- Opponent: Edward Pocock (R) (website)
- Towns: Berlin (part), Southington (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 7.44%
- Notes: Berlin and Southington trend Dem, probably safe. Aresimowicz defeated a GOP incumbent in 2004.
- Incumbent: Rep. Gail Hamm (D)
- Towns: East Hampton, Middletown (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 9.92%
- Notes: Probably safe, although both towns are unstable for Democrats lately. Hamm irritated her constituents in East Hampton when she pushed for a law restricting development around lakes.
- Incumbent: Rep. Ed Jutila (D)
- Towns: East Lyme, Salem
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 8.69%
- Notes: East Lyme is GOP, and Jutila is invisible.
- Incumbent: Rep. Elizabeth Ritter (D)
- Towns: Montville (part), Waterford
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 6.61%
- Notes: Waterford is trending GOP
- Incumbent: Rep. Michael A. Caron (R)
- Towns: Killingly (part), Plainfield (part), Sterling
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 10.37%
- Notes: Should at least be competitive. This part of the state is trending Democrat.
- Incumbent: Rep. Mike Alberts (R)
- Towns: Brooklyn, Eastford, Hampton, Pomfret, Woodstock
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 0.44% (48 votes)
- Notes: Most endangered Republican. Defeated Democrat Reece Painter in general election, but Painter defeated Alberts in special election to fill remaining two months of term vacated by Rep. Jefferson Davis (D-Pomfret), who resigned 8/04. Very strange.
- Incumbent: Rep. Anne Ruwet (R)
- Towns: Torrington (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 5.1%
- Notes: Ruwet’s son is Mayor Ryan Bingham of Torrington.
- Incumbent: Rep. Raymond Kalinowski (R)
- Towns: Durham, Middlefield, Middletown (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 2.93%
- Notes: Durham went Dem in 2005, and the margin is small. Kalinowski served on impeachment committee in 2004.
- Incumbent: Rep. Deborah Heinrich (D) (website)
- Towns: Guilford (part), Madison
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 6.06%
- Notes: Very Republican area. Heinrich defeated a longtime GOP incumbent in 2004.
- Incumbent: Rep. Linda Gentile (D)
- Opponent: Joseph Romano (R)
- Towns: Ansonia (part), Derby (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 4.17%
- Notes: This was an open seat in 2004, vacated by a long-serving Democrat.
- Incumbent: Rep. Paul Davis (D)
- Towns: Milford (part), Orange (part), West Haven (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 4.73%
- Notes: Milford and Orange trend Republican. Davis is one of the people behind the bill to make assulting umpires a felony.
- Incumbent: Rep. John Harkins (R)
- Towns: Stratford (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 5.81%
- Notes: Stratford is trending Democratic following gains by Democrats in the municipal elections. Harkins has been in the news for controversial anti-illegal alien stances.
- Incumbent: Rep. Thomas Drew (D) (website)
- Towns: Fairfield (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 4.90%
- Notes: Against natural gas terminal in Sound.
- Incumbent: Rep. John "Jack" Stone (R)
- Towns: Fairfield (part), Trumbull (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 7.88%
- Notes: Lost the first selectman race in Fairfield to Ken Flatto. Stone was elected to a selectman's seat, but may not take it.
- Incumbent: Rep. Joe Mioli (D)
- Towns: Westport (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 2.77%
- Notes: Most endangered Democrat. Defeated a GOP incumbent in 2004.
2006 is going to be an interesting election year, if the anti-incumbent mood we sensed during the municipal elections holds true. New campaign finance rules, if passed, will also complicate matters.
Remember that this list is a starting place, and that it will probably change as the situation does. Suggestions for additions or deletions are always welcome.