This is the list of races to keep an eye on this coming year. I've added two open seats, Senate 16 and House 86, to the list and updated the candidate listings.
Some of these candidates haven't declared yet, but have only formed exploratory committees in their respective districts. If they decide against running, their names will be deleted from this list.
- Incumbent: Sen John Kissel (R)
- Opponent: Bill Kiner (D) (website)
- Towns: East Granby, Enfield, Granby, Somers, Suffield, Windsor (part), Windsor Locks
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 1.64%
- Notes: Kissel won based on his personal popularity alone in 2004. His district went heavily for Kerry. Kissel was one of the few senators to vote against civil unions in 2005. Bill Kiner appears to be running against him again: break out the bright orange signs.
- Incumbent: Sen. Edward Meyer(D)
- Opponent: Gregg Hannon (R) (website)
- Towns: Branford, Durham, Guilford, Killingworth, Madison, N. Branford
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 3.16%
- Notes: This is typically a Republican area. Meyer defeated Bill Aniskovich in an upset in 2004.
- Incumbent: Sen. Gayle Slossberg (D) (website)
- Opponent: Barbara Lisman (R)
- Towns: Milford, Orange, West Haven (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 3.82%
- Notes: Slossberg defeated a GOP incumbent in 2004.
- Incumbent: Sen. Chris Murphy (Not Running)
- Candidate 1: Sam Caliguiri (R) (website) ; (blog)
- Candidate 2: David Zoni (D)
- Towns: Cheshire (part), Southington, Waterbury (part), Wolcott
- Notes: A rare open seat in the Senate--this one is being vacated by Sen. Chris Murphy, who is running for Congress. Another candidate, Rep. John "Corky" Mazurek (D-Southington), dropped out due to lack of support. It's unknown whether he's running for re-election in the 80th district.
- Incumbent: Sen. Cathy Cook (R) (Running for Comptroller)
- Candidate 1: Lenny T. Winkler (R)
- Candidate 2: Andy Maynard (D) (website)
- Towns: Griswold, Groton, N. Stonington, Plainfield, Preston, Sterling, Stonington, Voluntown
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 8.95%
- Notes: Cook may be facing a primary, here. The other rumor is that she's running as a sacrifical lamb for one of the other statewide posts, possibly comptroller.
- Incumbent: Sen. Bill Finch (D)(website); (blog)
- Opponent: Robert Russo (R)(website)
- Towns: Bridgeport (part), Monroe, Trumbull (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 7.96%
- Notes: Finch has one of the most active candidate blogs I've seen. Worth checking out. Russo's site doesn't seem to be up, yet.
- Incumbent: Sen. Tom Colapietro (D)
- Opponent: Beverly Bobroske (R): (website)
- Towns: Bristol, Harwinton (part), Plainville, Plymouth
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 5.14%
- Notes: Colapietro has said homosexuality is a "sickness." Bobroske's website is not yet active, apparently.
House of Representatives
- Incumbent: Rep. Hank Bielawa (R)(Not Running)
- Candidate 1: J. Philip Gallagher (R)
- Towns: Bethel (part), Danbury (part) Redding (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 0.82% (87 votes)
- Notes: Bielawa won in 2004 because he was cross-endorsed by an Independent party. Very strange stuff. Jason Bartlett, who lost to him in 2002 and 2004, isn't running against him this time.
- Incumbent: Rep. Robert Farr (R) (Running for Attorney General)
- Candidate 1: Beth Bye (D)
- Towns: West Hartford
- Notes: Farr's retirement makes this a possible pickup for Democrats.
- Incumbent: Rep. Joe Aresimowicz (D)
- Opponent: Edward Pocock (R) (website)
- Towns: Berlin (part), Southington (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 7.44%
- Notes: Berlin and Southington trend Dem, probably safe. Aresimowicz defeated a GOP incumbent in 2004.
- Incumbent: Rep. Gail Hamm (D)
- Opponent: Salvatore Nucifora (R)
- Towns: East Hampton, Middletown (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 9.92%
- Notes: Probably safe, although both towns are unstable for Democrats lately. Hamm irritated her constituents in East Hampton when she pushed for a law restricting development around lakes.
- Incumbent: Rep. Ed Jutila (D)
- Towns: East Lyme, Salem
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 8.69%
- Notes: East Lyme is GOP, and Jutila is invisible.
- Incumbent: Rep. Elizabeth Ritter (D)
- Towns: Montville (part), Waterford
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 6.61%
- Notes: Waterford is trending GOP
- Incumbent: Rep. Michael A. Caron (R)
- Towns: Killingly (part), Plainfield (part), Sterling
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 10.37%
- Notes: Should at least be competitive. This part of the state is trending Democrat.
- Incumbent: Rep. Mike Alberts (R)
- Opponent: Sherri Vogt (D)
- Towns: Brooklyn, Eastford, Hampton, Pomfret, Woodstock
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 0.44% (48 votes)
- Notes: Most endangered Republican. Defeated Democrat Reece Painter in general election, but Painter defeated Alberts in special election to fill remaining two months of term vacated by Rep. Jefferson Davis (D-Pomfret), who resigned 8/04. Very strange.
- Incumbent: Rep. Anne Ruwet (R)
- Towns: Torrington (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 5.1%
- Notes: Ruwet’s son is Mayor Ryan Bingham of Torrington.
- Incumbent: Rep. Robert Ward (R) (not running)
- Towns: East Haven (part), North Branford, Wallingford (part)
- No Candidates Yet
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 13.95%
- Notes: Longtime Minority Leader Ward's retirement makes this an open seat. North Branford, the major town in the district, elected a Democratic First Selectman in 2005.
- Incumbent: Rep. Raymond Kalinowski (R)
- Towns: Durham, Middlefield, Middletown (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 2.93%
- Notes: Durham went Dem in 2005, and the margin is small. Kalinowski served on impeachment committee in 2004.
- Incumbent: Rep. Deborah Heinrich (D) (website)
- Opponent: Noreen Kokoruda (R)
- Towns: Guilford (part), Madison
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 6.06%
- Notes: Very Republican area. Heinrich defeated a longtime GOP incumbent in 2004.
- Incumbent: Rep. Linda Gentile (D)
- Opponent: Joseph Romano (R)
- Towns: Ansonia (part), Derby (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 4.17%
- Notes: This was an open seat in 2004, vacated by a long-serving Democrat.
- Incumbent: Rep. Paul Davis (D)
- Towns: Milford (part), Orange (part), West Haven (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 4.73%
- Notes: Milford and Orange trend Republican. Davis is one of the people behind the bill to make assulting umpires a felony.
- Incumbent: Rep. John Harkins (R)
- Opponent: Dave Mooney (D) (website)
- Towns: Stratford (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 5.81%
- Notes: Stratford is trending Democratic following gains by Democrats in the municipal elections. Harkins has been in the news for controversial anti-illegal alien stances.
- Incumbent: Rep. Thomas Drew (D) (website)
- Opponent: Chris DeSanctis (R)
- Towns: Fairfield (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 4.90%
- Notes: Against natural gas terminal in Sound.
- Incumbent: Rep. John "Jack" Stone (R)
- Towns: Fairfield (part), Trumbull (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 7.88%
- Notes: Lost the first selectman race in Fairfield to Ken Flatto. Stone was elected to a selectman's seat, but did not take it. Stone is seeking re-election to the House.
- Incumbent: Rep. Joe Mioli (D) (website)
- Towns: Westport (part)
- 2004 Margin of Victory: 2.77%
- Notes: Most endangered Democrat. Defeated a GOP incumbent in 2004.