tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post115315361645518983..comments2023-10-18T11:04:13.946-04:00Comments on Connecticut Local Politics: Selected State Senate Fundraising - Second QuarterGenghis Connhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13042849182723767087noreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153246402856347942006-07-18T14:13:00.000-04:002006-07-18T14:13:00.000-04:00Gregg Hannan is the correct spelling (this is done...Gregg Hannan is the correct spelling (this is done primarily for the benefit of search engines and such).GMRhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16839216603164745797noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153219071622573502006-07-18T06:37:00.000-04:002006-07-18T06:37:00.000-04:00I would agree with Anon 1:09AM.Three races to watc...I would agree with Anon 1:09AM.<BR/><BR/>Three races to watch are:<BR/><BR/>7th (Kissel)<BR/>16th (Murphy--Open Seat)<BR/>22nd (Finch)<BR/><BR/>Why? If Republicans lose 7th, they are in big, big trouble (will probably stay below veto-proof margins). The 16th is "the" swing district of the year (although Caligiuri looks like he has early money advantage). And the 22nd is probably the Democrat's most vunerable incumbent.<BR/><BR/>Dave, I think you are dreaming a bit to think the 21st is really in play. Jones might have impressive numbers, but Debicella has double the money. Both are unknown first time candidates in an R-leaning district. Unless Jones can outspend Debicella, how can he win?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153199368854605732006-07-18T01:09:00.000-04:002006-07-18T01:09:00.000-04:00Of the four open seats...I'd say 16 is almost a fo...Of the four open seats...I'd say 16 is almost a forgone conclusion. 21 and 18 lean strongly R and 9 leans somewhat D.<BR/><BR/>That makes 9 the race to watch - if the Republicans can pick up the 9th then they have a clean sweep of the open seats and they end up 2 up on their present 12. If the Democrats hold it then they shut down any likely Rell inspired swing.<BR/><BR/>Of the challenge seats...7 is certainly one to watch. This could be an R year on the state legislative level, but if the Democrats knock off an incumbent R then all bets are off.<BR/><BR/>12 and 14 also bear watching, as they are both former R seats ripe for a possible pick up. However, more than likely one or the other ends up falling by the wayside by the end September. Anyone's guess as to which one. My gut says 14.<BR/><BR/>Beyond that we have 20, 22 and 31. Here it all comes down to what happens inside the district. 22 and 31 are rematches - a lot can be determined by looking at the 04 numbers and comparing them with 02. 20 is new - so anyone's guess on that race. However, we should also be down to just one viable challenge race from this bunch by October. If not, the Dems are in BIG trouble in November. Smart money says 22 ends up being the race to watch.<BR/><BR/>So, for those following along at home:<BR/><BR/>9 from the open seats<BR/>7 from the R incumbents<BR/>either 12 or 14 from R turned D seats (leans to 12)<BR/>20, 22 or 31 from D seats (leans to 22)<BR/><BR/>The REAL story will be if 9, 12, 14, 20, 22 and 31 are ALL in play come October 1st. If so, we might be looking at President Pro Tempore De Luca...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153193113536627382006-07-17T23:25:00.000-04:002006-07-17T23:25:00.000-04:00Anonymous 10:55,What is your opinion? I say 7th, ...Anonymous 10:55,<BR/><BR/>What is your opinion? <BR/><BR/>I say 7th, and 16th are the top "2" races to watch. I know those are only two, but I am torn on what to pick for the third.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153191345637565762006-07-17T22:55:00.000-04:002006-07-17T22:55:00.000-04:00So which of these races is really competitive now,...So which of these races is really competitive now, given the fundraising that has happened? <BR/><BR/>I have my opinion, but what are people's "Top 3" Senate races to watch?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153189653702087052006-07-17T22:27:00.000-04:002006-07-17T22:27:00.000-04:00Be sure to include those who are facing primaries....Be sure to include those who are facing primaries.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153182697982434232006-07-17T20:31:00.000-04:002006-07-17T20:31:00.000-04:00I will be posting selected House numbers tomorrow....I will be posting selected House numbers tomorrow. There are some really interesting ones out there.Genghis Connhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13042849182723767087noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153180961744603672006-07-17T20:02:00.000-04:002006-07-17T20:02:00.000-04:00Are you gogin to post the House numbers?Are you gogin to post the House numbers?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153177777939799462006-07-17T19:09:00.000-04:002006-07-17T19:09:00.000-04:00Zoni got his $$$ from disgruntled firemen in Wtby ...Zoni got his $$$ from disgruntled firemen in Wtby (Sammy took away their nice contract with Mayor Phil) and Love Makes A FamilyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153173219152819642006-07-17T17:53:00.000-04:002006-07-17T17:53:00.000-04:00Debicella is way ahead of Jones in the 21st becaus...Debicella is way ahead of Jones in the 21st because he got started earlier. <BR/><BR/>But this is a Republican-leaning district (with Shelton and Monroe in it), so it will be tough for a Democrat to win unless they outspend the Republican like 2-to-1.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153168050496452622006-07-17T16:27:00.000-04:002006-07-17T16:27:00.000-04:00Where on earth did Dave Zoni get 30 grand?That is ...Where on earth did Dave Zoni get 30 grand?<BR/><BR/>That is simply amazing.Authentic Connecticut Republicanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04867654898369536598noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153157070292292582006-07-17T13:24:00.000-04:002006-07-17T13:24:00.000-04:00Chris Oliveira outraised incumbent Andrea Stillman...Chris Oliveira outraised incumbent Andrea Stillman in SD 20Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10214263.post-1153156512255707962006-07-17T13:15:00.000-04:002006-07-17T13:15:00.000-04:00I'm surprised Robby Russo couldn't squeeze more ju...I'm surprised Robby Russo couldn't squeeze more juice out of Daddy's deep pockets. Considering he resides in a mansion on Brooklawn (bpt's high-rent district) that was given to him for his use, you'd think he'd take out a home equity loan. I don't know what Rell was thinking hiring him, but someone needs to open the closet and release the skeletons!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com